Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

Colorado Avalanche face Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL on 24 October 2026, and the match winner market (overtime and shootout included) prices Colorado Avalanche as a narrow favourite at 1.725, against 2.11 for Tampa Bay Lightning. The implied chances are 55.0% for Colorado Avalanche and 45.0% for Tampa Bay Lightning.

We have no head-to-head record for these teams in our data. Tampa Bay Lightning have the stronger recent form, with 4 wins and 1 loss from their last 5, including a win over Vegas Golden Knights on 21 October 2026, while Colorado Avalanche won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, losing to New Jersey Devils on 20 October 2026.

Our call is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a confidence of 52%, because they are the market favourite once the bookmaker margin is removed. The recent results lean to Tampa Bay Lightning, so they moved the market chance of 55.0% down by 2.8 points. Line-ups, injuries, team news and starting goaltenders are not available to us, and this is a narrow call with a clear chance that Tampa Bay Lightning prevail.