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Prematch Sports Prediction

EuroCup Finished

Aris Thessaloniki vs Derthona Prediction

Our pick: Aris Thessaloniki to win at 1.234, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Aris Thessaloniki

vs

Alexandreion Melathron (Thessaloniki)

Derthona

Result

Won

Aris Thessaloniki 88 · Derthona 68

Aris Thessaloniki won

How our call settled

Our pick, Aris Thessaloniki to win at locked odds 1.234, won. It was published with 78% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Aris Thessaloniki to win had shortened from 1.234 to 1.056, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Aris Thessaloniki face Derthona in the EuroCup on 14 October 2026. The market for the match winner, overtime included, makes Aris Thessaloniki the favourite at 1.234, with Derthona at 3.62. The implied chance is 74.6% for Aris Thessaloniki and 25.4% for Derthona, with the bookmaker margin taken out first.

We have no head-to-head record for these teams in our data. After 2 games in the EuroCup, which has no official table in our records, Aris Thessaloniki have won both, W W, while Derthona have 1 win and 1 loss, W L.

We pick Aris Thessaloniki to win, with confidence of 78%. They are the market favourite on the implied chances, and the season record and recent results lean to them, moving the market chance of 74.6% up 3.0 points, the cap. The main risk is that line-ups, injuries and rest days are not available to us, and the form sample is only 2 games.

Match winner odds

Overtime included

Updated

1 · Aris Thessaloniki 1.234 Our pick
2 · Derthona 13.00

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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