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Prematch Sports Prediction

Greek Basket League Finished

Aris Thessaloniki vs Maroussi Prediction

Our pick: Aris Thessaloniki to win at 1.039, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Aris Thessaloniki

vs

Alexandreion Melathron (Thessaloniki)

Maroussi

Result

Won

Aris Thessaloniki 74 · Maroussi 57

Aris Thessaloniki won

How our call settled

Our pick, Aris Thessaloniki to win at locked odds 1.039, won. It was published with 90% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Aris Thessaloniki to win had drifted from 1.039 to 1.07, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Aris Thessaloniki are the market favourite against Maroussi in the Greek Basket League on 17 October 2026. Aris Thessaloniki are priced at 1.039 and Maroussi at 7.65, which means an implied chance of 88.0% for Aris Thessaloniki and 12.0% for Maroussi.

Over all competitions combined, the pair have met 15 times since 2011. Aris Thessaloniki won 9 and Maroussi 6, and the last meeting was on 7 March 2026 in the A1. In the current season, Aris Thessaloniki are in position 4 after 1 win and 1 loss (W L), while Maroussi are in position 13 having lost both games (L L).

We pick Aris Thessaloniki to win, with a confidence of 90%. The market chance was 88.0% and our records moved it up 2.3 points, as the table, the head-to-head and recent results all lean to Aris Thessaloniki. Line-ups, injuries and rest days are not available to us, and that is the main uncertainty.

Match winner odds

Overtime included

Updated

1 · Aris Thessaloniki 1.039 Our pick
2 · Maroussi 14.00

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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