Skip to content
Prematch Sports Prediction

Turkish Super League Finished

Galatasaray vs Bursaspor Prediction

Our pick: Galatasaray to win at 1.41, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Galatasaray

vs

Sinan Erdem Dome (Istanbul)

Bursaspor

Result

Lost

Galatasaray 88 · Bursaspor 93

Bursaspor won

How our call settled

Our pick, Galatasaray to win at locked odds 1.41, lost. It was published with 70% confidence, leaving a 30% chance for Bursaspor to win, the outcome that came in.

Before the start the best price on Galatasaray to win had shortened from 1.41 to 1.25, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Bursaspor meet Galatasaray in the Turkish Super League on 12 October 2026. The market on the match winner, overtime included, has Galatasaray as the favourite at 1.41 and Bursaspor at 2.806. The implied chances, margin removed, are 66.6% for Galatasaray and 33.4% for Bursaspor.

Across all competitions combined, Galatasaray have won 11 and Bursaspor 4 of their 15 meetings since 2019, the latest on 5 April 2026 in the Super League. In the current table, Galatasaray are in position 13 with 6 points from 2 games, one won and one lost, and Bursaspor are in position 16 with 6 points from 2 games, both lost. We have no recent-results list for either side.

Our call is Galatasaray to win, with a confidence of 70%. They are the market favourite, and the head-to-head and table records both lean to them, lifting the market chance of 66.6% by 3.0 points, which is the allowed maximum. Rest days and line-ups are not available, so the early-season sample and unseen team news are the main caveats.

Match winner odds

Overtime included

Updated

1 · Galatasaray 1.41 Our pick
2 · Bursaspor 2.60

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

Related picks