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Prematch Sports Prediction

ABA League Finished

Dubai vs SC Derby Prediction

Our pick: Dubai to win at 1.014, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Dubai

vs

Coca-Cola Arena (Dubai)

SC Derby

Result

Won

Dubai 108 · SC Derby 90

Dubai won

How our call settled

Our pick, Dubai to win at locked odds 1.014, won. It was published with 93% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Dubai to win had drifted from 1.014 to 1.02, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Dubai meet SC Derby in the ABA League on 19 October 2026, and the market makes Dubai the clear favourite at decimal odds of 1.014 against 9.30 for SC Derby. The implied chance is 90.2% for Dubai and 9.8% for SC Derby.

Across all competitions combined we hold 4 meetings since 2024, and Dubai won all 4, the last on 21 December 2025 in the ABA League. In the ABA League table both sides have played 2 games: Dubai have won 2 and SC Derby have lost 2. Dubai's latest result in our data is a win over Saski Baskonia in the EuroLeague on 13 October 2026.

Our call is Dubai to win, with a confidence of 93%. The pick follows the market favourite on the implied chances, and our head-to-head, recent-results and table records all lean to Dubai, so they moved the market chance of 90.2% up by 3.0 points, the most the forecast allows. The main risk is that line-ups, injuries and team news are not available to us, and the records behind the adjustment are thin.

Match winner odds

Overtime included

Updated

1 · Dubai 1.014 Our pick
2 · SC Derby 13.00

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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