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Prematch Sports Prediction

EuroLeague Finished

Fenerbahce vs Zalgiris Prediction

Our pick: Fenerbahce to win at 1.31, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

vs

Ulker Sports (Istanbul)

Result

Won

Fenerbahce 99 · Zalgiris 80

Fenerbahce won

How our call settled

Our pick, Fenerbahce to win at locked odds 1.31, won. It was published with 76% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Fenerbahce to win had shortened from 1.31 to 1.30, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Fenerbahce play Zalgiris in the EuroLeague on 13 October 2026. The match winner market, overtime included, has Fenerbahce as the favourite at 1.31 and Zalgiris at 3.46. Removing the bookmaker margin leaves an implied chance of 72.5% for Fenerbahce and 27.5% for Zalgiris.

Counting every competition together, the two teams have met 15 times since 2021, with Fenerbahce winning 9 and Zalgiris 6. Their last meeting was on 8 May 2026, a Euroleague play-off. In the current Euroleague table Fenerbahce sit in position 4 with 3 wins and 1 loss from 4 games, and Zalgiris are in position 8 with 2 wins and 2 losses.

Our call is Fenerbahce to win, with 76% confidence. They are the favourite in the market, and the table, head-to-head and recent-result records all point to Fenerbahce, lifting the market chance of 72.5% by 3.0 points, which is the cap. Line-ups, injuries and rest days are not available to us, so a single off night remains the main danger, and the records are still thin.

Match winner odds

Overtime included

Updated

1 · Fenerbahce 1.31 Our pick
2 · Zalgiris 16.00

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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