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Prematch Sports Prediction

ABA League Finished

Ilirija vs Mega Prediction

Our pick: Ilirija to win at 1.789, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Ilirija

vs

Tivoli Hall (Ljubljana)

Mega

Result

Won

Ilirija 96 · Mega 62

Ilirija won

How our call settled

Our pick, Ilirija to win at locked odds 1.789, won. It was published with 50% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Ilirija to win had shortened from 1.789 to 1.54, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Ilirija take on Mega on 18 October 2026, a fixture listed under ABA League, at Tivoli Hall (Ljubljana). The bookmaker line makes Ilirija the favourite at 1.789, which is 51.1% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against Mega at 1.873 (48.9%).

The head-to-head record in our data feed, all competitions combined, shows 2 meetings since 2025: Ilirija won 0 and Mega won 2. Ilirija have played 2 games in the ABA League this season (0 won, 2 lost), form L L. Mega have played 2 games this season (1 won, 1 lost), form W L.

The call is Ilirija to win, overtime included, at 50% confidence: the market's margin-free 51.1% for Ilirija, moved down 1.1 points by the head-to-head record, recent results and the season record; while our results records are thin, the move is limited to 3 points. Line-ups, injuries and rest information are not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.

Match winner odds

Overtime included

Updated

1 · Ilirija 1.789 Our pick
2 · Mega 12.40

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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