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Prematch Sports Prediction

Afghanistan vs India Finished

Afghanistan vs India Prediction

Our pick: India to win at 1.07, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

vs

Arun Jaitley Stadium (New Delhi)

Result

Won

Afghanistan 159/8 · India 163/3

India won

How our call settled

Our pick, India to win at locked odds 1.07, won. It was published with 89% confidence.

Before the start the best price on India to win had drifted from 1.07 to 1.079, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

The market suggests India to win at odds of 1.07, representing an implied chance of 88.6%. The bookmaker line indicates a significant favouring of India, with Afghanistan priced at 8.30. This difference reflects the substantial historical advantage enjoyed by India in their encounters.

Across all formats combined, India has won eight out of eleven meetings against Afghanistan since 2023. The head-to-head record demonstrates a clear dominance by India, and the last meeting on 13 September 2026 concluded with India victorious. However, data regarding recent results for both teams is not available.

India to win is our pick, underpinned by the substantial historical head-to-head advantage. The market’s favouring of India at 88.6% implied chance suggests a reasonable level of confidence in this outcome. The main risk lies in the lack of information regarding recent form and team composition – we are therefore relying solely on past performance.

Match winner odds

Updated

1 · Afghanistan 8.40
X · Draw 25.00
2 · India 1.07 Our pick

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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