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Prematch Sports Prediction

Cricket World Cup League 2 ODI Finished

Canada vs Nepal Prediction

Our pick: Nepal to win at 1.52, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

vs

Amerat Cricket Mud Ground (Al Amarat)

Result

Lost

Canada 256/10 · Nepal 232/10

Canada won

How our call settled

Our pick, Nepal to win at locked odds 1.52, lost. It was published with 61% confidence, leaving a 39% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.

Before the start the best price on Nepal to win had drifted from 1.52 to 1.544, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Canada take on Nepal on 17 October 2026, an ODI fixture listed under Cricket World Cup League 2. The bookmaker line makes Nepal the favourite at 1.52, which is 62.5% once the bookmaker margin is removed, against Canada at 2.533 (37.5%).

The head-to-head record in our data feed, all formats combined, shows 10 meetings since 2024: Canada won 5 and Nepal won 3, with 2 ending as a draw, tie or no result. Canada are 7th in the World Cup League 2 table on 25 points. Nepal are 6th on 28 points.

The call is Nepal to win, at 61% confidence: the market's margin-free 62.5% for Nepal, moved down 1.6 points by the head-to-head record; while our results records are thin, the move is limited to 3 points. Playing XI, injuries, toss and pitch information is not available, so late team news is the main risk to this pick.

Match winner odds

Updated

1 · Canada 1.304
X · Draw 15.00
2 · Nepal 1.52 Our pick

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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