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Prematch Sports Prediction

Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Finished

Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Prediction

Our pick: Pakistan to win at 1.384, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Pakistan

vs

Rawalpindi Cricket (Rawalpindi)

Sri Lanka

Result

Lost

Pakistan 168/8 · Sri Lanka 172/2

Sri Lanka won

How our call settled

Our pick, Pakistan to win at locked odds 1.384, lost. It was published with 70% confidence, leaving a 30% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.

Before the start the best price on Pakistan to win had drifted from 1.384 to 1.53, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Pakistan meet Sri Lanka on 13 October 2026 in the T20 International Tournament. The match winner market makes Pakistan the favourite at 1.384, with Sri Lanka at 3.15 and the draw at 25.00. The implied chance is 66.9% for Pakistan, 29.4% for Sri Lanka and 3.7% for the draw.

In all formats combined, Pakistan have won 11 and Sri Lanka 2 of 15 meetings since 2023, with 2 ending without a winner; the last was on 11 October 2026 in this same tournament. The only recent result we hold is Sri Lanka's defeat to England on 15 September 2026, and we have none for Pakistan.

Our call is Pakistan to win, with a confidence of 70%. They are the market favourite, and the head-to-head record lifted the market chance of 66.9% by 3.0 points, the largest adjustment allowed. The playing XI, toss, pitch and weather are not available, and recent form is mostly missing, so that is the main risk.

Match winner odds

Updated

1 · Pakistan 1.384 Our pick
X · Draw 30.00
2 · Sri Lanka 1.016

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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