UEFA Europa League Finished
Our pick: Celje to win at 2.416, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Celje 0 · AC Omonia 3
AC Omonia won
Our pick, Celje to win at locked odds 2.416, lost. It was published with 39% confidence, leaving a 61% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.
Before the start the best price on Celje to win had drifted from 2.416 to 3.28, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Celje play AC Omonia in the UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026, and the market is tight. Celje are narrow favourites at 2.416, with AC Omonia at 2.904 and the draw at 3.38.
Once the margin is removed, the implied chance is 39.3% for Celje, 32.7% for AC Omonia and 28.1% for the draw. We have no head-to-head record and no recent results for these clubs, so the records have nothing to add.
We choose Celje to win, though confidence is only 39%. They hold the edge as the market favourite once the margin is removed, and the 39.3% market chance was left unchanged. Because the lead is slim and team news is not available, a win for AC Omonia or a draw is quite plausible.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Benfica to win 56% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 16.90 Possible profit +6.90
Prediction: FC Salzburg to win 46% confidence
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Prediction: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 72% confidence
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Benfica
FC Salzburg
OFI Crete
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Lech Poznan
Sunderland