Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Anderlecht Prediction

Jagiellonia Bialystok and Anderlecht meet in the UEFA Europa League on 22 October 2026 in a tightly priced match. Anderlecht are the narrow market favourite at 2.53, with Jagiellonia Bialystok at 2.775 and the draw at 3.36. The implied chances are 37.5% for Anderlecht, 34.2% for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 28.3% for the draw.

We have no head-to-head record for these teams in our data. In the league stage table Jagiellonia Bialystok are 17th with 3 points from 1 win and 1 defeat, while Anderlecht are 29th with 0 points from 2 defeats. On 15 October 2026 Jagiellonia Bialystok beat Ararat - Armenia and Anderlecht lost to Dinamo Zagreb.

Our call is the draw, with a confidence of 28%. The rule behind it is that no team reaches 45% in the implied chance, the draw is at most 33%, and the favourite leads it by 9.3 points, within the limit of 10 points. Our records left the market chance of 28.3% unchanged. The main risk is that a draw is the least likely single result in this market, and line-ups, suspensions and team news are not available to us.