Ararat - Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Ararat - Armenia and AZ Alkmaar meet in the UEFA Europa League on 22 October 2026, and the bookmaker line favours AZ Alkmaar at decimal odds of 1.59, against 5.75 for Ararat - Armenia and 3.96 for the draw. Once the margin is removed, the implied chance is 59.6% for AZ Alkmaar, 23.9% for the draw and 16.5% for Ararat - Armenia.

We have no head-to-head record for these teams in our data. AZ Alkmaar won 1 and lost 1 of their two latest matches, beating Hapoel Be'er Sheva on 15 October 2026, while Ararat - Armenia lost to Jagiellonia Bialystok on the same date.

Our call is AZ Alkmaar to win, with a confidence of 60%. The pick follows the market favourite once the bookmaker margin is removed, and the recent-results record, which leans to AZ Alkmaar, moved the market chance of 59.6% up by 0.8 points. The main risk is that line-ups, injuries, suspensions and team news are not available to us, and our recent-results sample is small.