UEFA Europa League Finished
Our pick: Jagiellonia Bialystok to win at 1.39, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Jagiellonia Bialystok 3 · Ararat - Armenia 1
Jagiellonia Bialystok won
Our pick, Jagiellonia Bialystok to win at locked odds 1.39, won. It was published with 68% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Jagiellonia Bialystok to win had drifted from 1.39 to 1.485, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Jagiellonia Bialystok are favoured to beat Ararat - Armenia in the UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026. The market prices Jagiellonia Bialystok at 1.39, with the draw at 4.96 and Ararat - Armenia at 7.50.
Once the margin is removed, the implied chance is 68.2% for Jagiellonia Bialystok, 19.1% for the draw and 12.6% for Ararat - Armenia. We hold no head-to-head record and no recent results for either club, which leaves the prices as our only guide.
The pick is Jagiellonia Bialystok to win, at 68% confidence, because they lead the market once the margin is removed. With no records to weigh, the 68.2% market chance was left unchanged. Team news is not available, so Ararat - Armenia could still upset the order.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
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