UEFA Champions League Finished
Our pick: Arsenal to win at 1.25, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Arsenal 3 · Lille OSC 0
Arsenal won
Our pick, Arsenal to win at locked odds 1.25, won. It was published with 76% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Arsenal to win had shortened from 1.25 to 1.20, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Arsenal take on Lille OSC in the UEFA Champions League on 13 October 2026, and the market makes Arsenal clear favourites at 1.25. The draw is priced at 5.60 and Lille OSC at 13.00.
With the margin removed, the implied chance is 75.8% for Arsenal, 16.9% for the draw and 7.3% for Lille OSC. We have no head-to-head record and no recent results for either club, which leaves the market as the only guide.
Arsenal to win is our pick at 76% confidence, resting on Arsenal being the favourite once the bookmaker margin is removed. With nothing in the records to add, the 75.8% market chance was left unchanged. Team news is not available to us, so an upset by Lille OSC cannot be ruled out.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Lille OSC to win 44% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.70 Possible profit +11.70
Prediction: Bayern Munich to win 43% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.50 Possible profit +11.50
Prediction: Arsenal to win 68% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.00 Possible profit +4.00
Prediction: Fenerbahce to win 59% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 16.25 Possible profit +6.25
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Fenerbahce
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