Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction

Liverpool and Arsenal meet in the Premier League on 1 November 2026, on the match winner market over 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The bookmaker line makes Arsenal the favourite at odds of 2.16, with Liverpool and the draw both at 3.38. Once the margin is removed, the implied chance is 43.9% for Arsenal, 28.1% for Liverpool and 28.1% for the draw.

Across all competitions combined our data holds 15 meetings since 2021, with 7 wins for Liverpool, 2 for Arsenal and 6 draws, ties or no results; the last was on 8 January 2026 in the Premier League. In the table Arsenal are in position 2 with 15 points from 6 matches, while Liverpool are in position 5 with 12 points from 7. Arsenal won both of their last 2 matches, and Liverpool won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3.

Our call is Arsenal to win, with a confidence of 43%. The pick is the market favourite once the bookmaker margin is removed, and our records moved the market chance of 43.9% down by 1.0 points, because the head-to-head leans to Liverpool while the table and recent results lean to Arsenal. Line-ups, suspensions and weather are not available to us, and the head-to-head record in Liverpool's favour is the main risk.