Premier League Finished
Our pick: Arsenal to win at 1.605, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Nottingham Forest 0 · Arsenal 1
Arsenal won
Our pick, Arsenal to win at locked odds 1.605, won. It was published with 61% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Arsenal to win had shortened from 1.605 to 1.485, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Arsenal are firm market favourites for the Premier League game with Nottingham Forest on 18 October 2026, at 1.605. That is an implied chance of 59.1%, while Nottingham Forest are on 16.2% and the draw on 24.7%.
The record across all competitions combined favours Arsenal: 10 wins to Nottingham Forest's 3 over 15 meetings since 1997, with 2 ending without a winner. The latest game was in the Premier League on 17 January 2026. We have no recent results for either club.
Our pick is Arsenal to win, at 61% confidence. The head-to-head record leans towards Arsenal and raised the market chance of 59.1% by 2.0 points. Team news is not available, which is the main uncertainty.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Draw 28% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 33.60 Possible profit +23.60
Prediction: Arsenal to win 68% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.00 Possible profit +4.00
Prediction: Bayern Munich to win 43% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.50 Possible profit +11.50
Prediction: Manchester City to win 54% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.68 Possible profit +7.68
Ipswich Town
Everton
Bayern Munich
Aston Villa
Manchester City