Aston Villa vs Manchester City
Prediction: Manchester City to win 54% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.68 Possible profit +7.68
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Our pick: Aston Villa to win at 1.995, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
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Aston Villa are favourites for the Premier League fixture with Fulham on 31 October 2026. Across 90 minutes plus stoppage time the market offers 1.995 on Aston Villa, 3.44 on the draw and 3.80 on Fulham. With the bookmaker margin taken out, the implied chance works out at 47.5% for Aston Villa, 27.6% for the draw and 24.9% for Fulham.
We have no head-to-head record for these teams in our data. Aston Villa won 1 and drew 1 of their last 2, beating Fenerbahce on 14 October 2026 and drawing with Brentford on 10 October 2026. Fulham won 1 and lost 1, beating Hull City on 17 October 2026 and losing to Ipswich Town on 10 October 2026.
We pick Aston Villa to win, with a confidence of 48%. The pick is the market favourite once the bookmaker margin is removed, and the recent-results record, which leans to Aston Villa, moved the market chance of 47.5% up by 0.8 points. Only 2 recent matches per team are in our data, and line-ups, suspensions and weather are not available to us.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Press an outcome to see its example return in the calculator. Our pick shows its locked odds; the others show the best current price.
Prediction: Manchester City to win 54% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.68 Possible profit +7.68
Prediction: Fulham to win 41% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 22.90 Possible profit +12.90
Prediction: Aston Villa to win 80% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 12.20 Possible profit +2.20
Prediction: Draw 28% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 33.60 Possible profit +23.60