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Our pick: Manchester City to win at 1.768, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
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Aston Villa play Manchester City in the Premier League on 24 October 2026. The market favours Manchester City at 1.768, with the draw at 3.86 and Aston Villa at 4.38, and the implied chances are 53.7%, 24.6% and 21.7% once the margin is removed.
We have no head-to-head record for these teams in our data. Aston Villa drew with Brentford in the Premier League on 10 October 2026, and we have no recent results for Manchester City.
We pick Manchester City to win at 54% confidence, because they are the market favourite after the margin is removed. The records left the market chance of 53.7% unchanged. Team news and suspensions are not available, so the draw remains a live alternative.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Press an outcome to see its example return in the calculator. Our pick shows its locked odds; the others show the best current price.
Prediction: Manchester City to win 89% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 10.70 Possible profit +0.70
Prediction: Aston Villa to win 80% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 12.20 Possible profit +2.20
Prediction: Draw 28% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 33.60 Possible profit +23.60
Prediction: Fulham to win 41% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 22.90 Possible profit +12.90
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