Serie A Finished
Our pick: Milan to win at 1.875, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Milan 3 · Atalanta 2
Milan won
Our pick, Milan to win at locked odds 1.875, won. It was published with 49% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Milan to win had shortened from 1.875 to 1.656, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Atalanta and Milan meet in Serie A on 18 October 2026, and the bookmaker line makes Milan the favourites at 1.875, with the draw at 3.64 and Atalanta at 4.06. As implied chances, that is 50.6% for Milan, 26.1% for the draw and 23.4% for Atalanta.
Across all competitions combined, the head-to-head record tilts towards Atalanta: 7 wins to Milan's 4 from 15 meetings since 2019, with 4 ending without a winner. The last meeting was a Serie A game on 10 May 2026. We have no recent results for either club.
Our pick remains Milan to win, at 49% confidence, because they are the market favourites on the implied chances. The head-to-head record leans the other way, so it lowered the market chance of 50.6% by 1.3 points. Line-ups, injuries, suspensions, weather and pitch details are not available, so the pick could easily fall short.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Bournemouth to win 44% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 22.32 Possible profit +12.32
Prediction: Torino to win 45% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.05 Possible profit +11.05
Prediction: Como to win 68% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.00 Possible profit +4.00
Prediction: Draw 32% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 29.44 Possible profit +19.44
Bournemouth
Torino
Monza 1912
Como
Sassuolo Calcio
Cagliari Calcio
Bologna 1909