Serie A Finished
Our pick: Atalanta to win at 1.61, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Atalanta 3 · Unione Venezia 1
Atalanta won
Our pick, Atalanta to win at locked odds 1.61, won. It was published with 60% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Atalanta to win had shortened from 1.61 to 1.56, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Atalanta and Unione Venezia meet in Serie A on 12 October 2026. Atalanta are the bookmaker favourite at 1.61, with the draw at 4.02 and Unione Venezia at 5.45. Without the margin, the implied chances are 59.0% for Atalanta, 23.6% for the draw and 17.4% for Unione Venezia.
Across all competitions combined, the teams have met 12 times since 1994. Atalanta came out ahead in 7, Unione Venezia in 3, and 2 were drawn or undecided; the last was a Serie A game on 1 March 2025. There are no recent results on file for either side.
We choose Atalanta to win, with 60% confidence. Atalanta lead the market once the margin is removed, and the head-to-head record, which leans to Atalanta, raised the market chance of 59.0% by 1.5 points. Since we cannot see line-ups, injuries, suspensions, weather or the pitch, an upset is the obvious worry.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Torino to win 45% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.05 Possible profit +11.05
Prediction: Draw 32% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 29.44 Possible profit +19.44
Prediction: Como to win 68% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.00 Possible profit +4.00
Prediction: Roma to win 37% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 24.56 Possible profit +14.56
Torino
Monza 1912
Cagliari Calcio
Bologna 1909
Como
Sassuolo Calcio
Napoli
Roma