La Liga Finished
Our pick: Athletic Bilbao to win at 2.10, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Valencia 0 · Athletic Bilbao 0
Match drawn
Our pick, Athletic Bilbao to win at locked odds 2.10, lost. It was published with 46% confidence, leaving a 54% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.
Before the start the best price on Athletic Bilbao to win had drifted from 2.10 to 2.21, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Athletic Bilbao and Valencia meet in La Liga on 17 October 2026. Athletic Bilbao lead the market at 2.10, an implied chance of 45.2%, with the draw on 27.6% and Valencia on 27.3%.
Across all competitions combined, the 15 meetings since 2021 brought 6 wins for Athletic Bilbao, 4 for Valencia and 5 games without a winner. Their last meeting was in La Liga on 10 May 2026. No recent results are available for either club.
We pick Athletic Bilbao to win, at 46% confidence. The head-to-head record leans towards Athletic Bilbao and raised the market chance of 45.2% by 1.0 points. The edge over Valencia is narrow and we cannot see team news, which is the key uncertainty.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Athletic Bilbao to win 44% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.75 Possible profit +11.75
Prediction: Villarreal to win 45% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.00 Possible profit +11.00
Prediction: Deportivo Alaves to win 54% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.35 Possible profit +7.35
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win 55% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.40 Possible profit +7.40
Levante UD
Villarreal
Deportivo Alaves
Malaga
Rayo Vallecano
Elche