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Prematch Sports Prediction

Bundesliga Finished

Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Our pick: Bayern Munich to win at 1.20, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Augsburg

vs

WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Bayern Munich

Result

Lost

Augsburg 2 · Bayern Munich 2

Match drawn

How our call settled

Our pick, Bayern Munich to win at locked odds 1.20, lost. It was published with 80% confidence, leaving a 20% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.

Before the start the best price on Bayern Munich to win had shortened from 1.20 to 1.144, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Bayern Munich are priced at 1.20 to beat Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 10 October 2026, which makes them clear market favourites. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, the implied chance is 79.0% for Bayern Munich, 12.0% for the draw and 9.0% for Augsburg.

Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met 15 times since 2019, with 11 wins for Bayern Munich, 3 for Augsburg and 1 drawn or undecided. The latest was a Bundesliga game on 24 January 2026. We hold no recent results for either club.

We pick Bayern Munich to win at 80% confidence. The starting point is the market chance of 79.0%, which the head-to-head record raised by 1.3 points, a small shift in the same direction. With team news unavailable to us, an unexpected line-up is the main thing that could undo the call.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · Augsburg 44.00
X · Draw 1.09
2 · Bayern Munich 1.20 Our pick

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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