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Prematch Sports Prediction

Bundesliga Finished

Elversberg vs Augsburg Prediction

Our pick: Elversberg to win at 2.425, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Elversberg

vs

Waldstadion an der Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Augsburg

Result

Won

Elversberg 4 · Augsburg 3

Elversberg won

How our call settled

Our pick, Elversberg to win at locked odds 2.425, won. It was published with 37% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Elversberg to win had drifted from 2.425 to 2.44, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Elversberg are slight market favourites at 2.425 against Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 17 October 2026. Augsburg are priced at 2.656 and the draw at 3.78, so little separates the two sides in the market.

With the margin removed, the implied chance is 39.1% for Elversberg, 35.7% for Augsburg and 25.1% for the draw. Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met 9 times since 2002, with Augsburg winning 4, Elversberg 1 and 4 ending without a winner; the latest was a DFB Pokal tie on 7 August 2015.

We choose Elversberg to win at 37% confidence, because they are the favourite once the margin is removed. The head-to-head record leans to Augsburg, so it lowered the 39.1% market chance by 1.7 points. We have no recent results and cannot see team news, so Augsburg remain a live threat to this pick.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · Elversberg 2.425 Our pick
X · Draw 16.00
2 · Augsburg 369.00

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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