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Prematch Sports Prediction

Ligue 1 Finished

Le Havre vs Auxerre Prediction

Our pick: Le Havre to win at 2.425, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

vs

Oceane (Le Havre)

Result

Lost

Le Havre 1 · Auxerre 3

Auxerre won

How our call settled

Our pick, Le Havre to win at locked odds 2.425, lost. It was published with 42% confidence, leaving a 58% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.

Before the start the best price on Le Havre to win had shortened from 2.425 to 2.256, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Le Havre are narrow favourites against Auxerre in Ligue 1 on 18 October 2026, with odds of 2.425 compared with 2.896 for Auxerre. The implied chance is 39.1% for Le Havre, 32.8% for Auxerre and 28.1% for the draw.

In all competitions combined, Le Havre have won 7 of 15 meetings since 2017, Auxerre 2, and 6 finished without a winner. The latest was in Ligue 1 on 5 April 2026. Neither side has recent results in our records.

We name Le Havre to win, at 42% confidence. Le Havre start from a market chance of 39.1%, and the head-to-head record, which leans to Le Havre, added 2.7 points. Team news is not available to us, so the pick could easily be undone.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · Le Havre 2.425 Our pick
X · Draw 20.00
2 · Auxerre 1.001

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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