Eredivisie Finished
Our pick: AZ Alkmaar to win at 1.37, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Cambuur 2 · AZ Alkmaar 2
Match drawn
Our pick, AZ Alkmaar to win at locked odds 1.37, lost. It was published with 72% confidence, leaving a 28% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.
Before the start the best price on AZ Alkmaar to win had drifted from 1.37 to 1.445, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
AZ Alkmaar are strong favourites to beat Cambuur in the Eredivisie on 18 October 2026, at 1.37 on the bookmaker line. Once the margin is removed the implied chance is 69.2% for AZ Alkmaar, 18.2% for the draw and 12.6% for Cambuur, who are priced at 7.50.
Across all competitions combined, AZ Alkmaar won 11 of the 14 meetings since 2012 and Cambuur none, with 3 ending without a winner. The latest, on 25 February 2023, was in the Eredivisie. Recent results are not available for either club.
AZ Alkmaar to win is the pick, at 72% confidence. They lead the market once the margin is removed, and the head-to-head record in their favour raised the 69.2% market chance by 2.8 points. Team news is not available to us, so even a one-sided record offers no protection against a surprise.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win 60% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 15.90 Possible profit +5.90
Prediction: Go Ahead Eagles to win 61% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 15.60 Possible profit +5.60
Prediction: Utrecht to win 57% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 16.56 Possible profit +6.56
Prediction: Fenerbahce to win 59% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 16.25 Possible profit +6.25
Ararat - Armenia
Go Ahead Eagles
Telstar
Utrecht
PEC Zwolle
Fenerbahce
Slavia Prague