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Prematch Sports Prediction

Eredivisie Finished

Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Our pick: Feyenoord to win at 1.85, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Feyenoord

vs

De Kuip (Rotterdam)

AZ Alkmaar

Result

Won

Feyenoord 2 · AZ Alkmaar 0

Feyenoord won

How our call settled

Our pick, Feyenoord to win at locked odds 1.85, won. It was published with 53% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Feyenoord to win had shortened from 1.85 to 1.79, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Feyenoord are the favourites for the Eredivisie fixture against AZ Alkmaar on 10 October 2026, priced at 1.85 on the bookmaker line. With the margin stripped out, the implied chance is 51.3% for Feyenoord, 25.2% for the draw and 23.5% for AZ Alkmaar, who are offered at 4.04.

Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met 15 times since 2019, with Feyenoord winning 9 and AZ Alkmaar 4, while 2 had no winner. The most recent meeting came on 10 May 2026 in the Eredivisie. Recent results for the two clubs are missing from our data.

We pick Feyenoord to win, at 53% confidence. The starting point is the market chance of 51.3%, which the head-to-head record, leaning to Feyenoord, raised by 1.9 points. Because we cannot see team news or conditions, the pick carries the usual uncertainty of a match we cannot fully assess.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · Feyenoord 1.85 Our pick
X · Draw 20.00
2 · AZ Alkmaar 191.00

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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