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Prematch Sports Prediction

UEFA Europa League Finished

AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva Prediction

Our pick: AZ Alkmaar to win at 1.30, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

AZ Alkmaar

vs

AFAS (Alkmaar)

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Result

Won

AZ Alkmaar 2 · Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1

AZ Alkmaar won

How our call settled

Our pick, AZ Alkmaar to win at locked odds 1.30, won. It was published with 73% confidence.

Before the start the best price on AZ Alkmaar to win had drifted from 1.30 to 1.464, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

AZ Alkmaar are heavy favourites against Hapoel Be'er Sheva in the UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026. The market prices them at 1.30, with the draw at 5.60 and Hapoel Be'er Sheva at 9.40.

Removing the margin gives an implied chance of 73.0% for AZ Alkmaar, 16.9% for the draw and 10.1% for Hapoel Be'er Sheva. We hold no head-to-head record and no recent results for either club, so there is no history or form to add to the picture.

AZ Alkmaar to win is the pick, at 73% confidence, simply because they top the market once the margin is removed. With no records to weigh, the 73.0% market chance was left unchanged. Team news is not available, and that is the main uncertainty.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · AZ Alkmaar 1.30 Our pick
X · Draw 17.00
2 · Hapoel Be'er Sheva 340.00

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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