La Liga Finished
Our pick: Barcelona to win at 1.04, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Barcelona 3 · Getafe 0
Barcelona won
Our pick, Barcelona to win at locked odds 1.04, won. It was published with 92% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Barcelona to win had drifted from 1.04 to 1.096, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Barcelona face Getafe in La Liga on 10 October 2026, and the market leaves little doubt about who leads. Barcelona are priced at 1.04, an implied chance of 91.0%, against 6.5% for the draw and 2.5% for Getafe.
Across all competitions combined, the record since 2019 spans 15 meetings, with 10 wins for Barcelona, 1 for Getafe and 4 draws or ties. Their last meeting was on 25 April 2026 in La Liga, and no recent-results record for either club is available to us.
We pick Barcelona to win, with 92% confidence. That is the market chance of 91.0%, nudged up by 0.5 points because the head-to-head record favours Barcelona. Team news is not available to us, so a surprise on the day remains the main danger.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Barcelona to win 40% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 23.80 Possible profit +13.80
Prediction: Athletic Bilbao to win 44% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.75 Possible profit +11.75
Prediction: Deportivo Alaves to win 54% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.35 Possible profit +7.35
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win 55% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.40 Possible profit +7.40
Paris Saint-Germain
Levante UD
Athletic Bilbao
Deportivo Alaves
Malaga
Rayo Vallecano
Elche