UEFA Europa League Finished
Our pick: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win at 1.65, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Lech Poznan 0 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Our pick, Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win at locked odds 1.65, won. It was published with 58% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win had shortened from 1.65 to 1.43, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Lech Poznan meet Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026. Bayer 04 Leverkusen are the market favourite at 1.65, with the draw at 4.36 and Lech Poznan at 4.60.
Once the margin is removed, the implied chance is 57.6% for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 21.8% for the draw and 20.6% for Lech Poznan. Neither a head-to-head record nor recent results for the two clubs are available to us, so the assessment rests on the market alone.
We pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win with 58% confidence, because they are the favourite once the bookmaker margin is removed. With no records to weigh, the 57.6% market chance was left unchanged. Team news is not available to us, so an upset by Lech Poznan is the main danger to the call.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
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Prediction: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 72% confidence
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Sunderland
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Ferencvarosi
S.C.U. Torreense
Sturm Graz
Olympique de Marseille