TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction

Bayer 04 Leverkusen play TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on 25 October 2026, with Bayer 04 Leverkusen the favourite at 2.11. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are at 3.07 and the draw at 3.96. The implied chance is 45.0% for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 31.0% for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and 24.0% for the draw.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen sit fourth in the Bundesliga with 10 points from 5 games, while TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 17th with 3 points from 5 games. Across all competitions combined, they have met 15 times since 2019: 7 wins for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 5 for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and 3 meetings drawn or without a result, the last on 17 January 2026. On 10 October 2026 Bayer 04 Leverkusen won against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim lost to Hamburger.

We pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win, with a confidence of 50%. The market chance of 45.0% moved up 5.2 points because the table, the head-to-head and the recent results all lean to Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Line-ups and injuries are not available to us, and that gap in knowledge is the main risk.