UEFA Champions League Finished
Our pick: Bayern Munich to win at 1.075, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Viking 3 · Bayern Munich 3
Match drawn
Our pick, Bayern Munich to win at locked odds 1.075, lost. It was published with 88% confidence, leaving a 12% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.
Before the start the best price on Bayern Munich to win had drifted from 1.075 to 1.125, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Bayern Munich are priced at 1.075 to beat Viking in the UEFA Champions League on 13 October 2026, which makes them overwhelming favourites. Viking are at 22.00 and the draw at 13.00.
Once the bookmaker margin is taken away, the implied chance is 88.4% for Bayern Munich, 7.3% for the draw and 4.3% for Viking. We have neither a head-to-head record nor recent results for these clubs, so nothing in the records shifts that view.
We select Bayern Munich to win with 88% confidence, since the market makes them clear favourites once the margin is removed. The records left the 88.4% market chance unchanged. Line-ups, injuries and team news are not available to us, and that is the one real caveat on such a lopsided line.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Bayern Munich to win 43% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.50 Possible profit +11.50
Prediction: Aston Villa to win 80% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 12.20 Possible profit +2.20
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win 72% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 13.20 Possible profit +3.20
Prediction: Fenerbahce to win 59% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 16.25 Possible profit +6.25
Arsenal
Aston Villa
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Borussia Dortmund
Fenerbahce
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