UEFA Europa League Finished
Our pick: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win at 1.936, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2 · Besiktas 3
Besiktas won
Our pick, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win at locked odds 1.936, lost. It was published with 49% confidence, leaving a 51% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.
Before the start the best price on TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win had shortened from 1.936 to 1.93, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and Besiktas meet in the UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are the favourites at 1.936, with Besiktas at 3.48 and the draw at 4.00.
With the margin removed, the implied chance is 49.0% for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, 27.3% for Besiktas and 23.7% for the draw. Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met once, in a club friendly on 27 July 2016 that ended without a winner. That record is level, and we have no recent results for either side.
We pick TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win with 49% confidence, because they lead the market once the margin is removed. The level meeting record left the 49.0% market chance unchanged. Team news is not available to us, so a Besiktas win or a draw remains open.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win 37% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 25.36 Possible profit +15.36
Prediction: Draw 29% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 32.80 Possible profit +22.80
Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb to win 54% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.80 Possible profit +7.80
Prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win 60% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 15.90 Possible profit +5.90
Lyon
Crystal Palace
Dinamo Zagreb
N.E.C.
Ararat - Armenia
AZ Alkmaar