Sabah Baku vs Borussia Dortmund
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win 72% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 13.20 Possible profit +3.20
UEFA Champions League Finished
Our pick: Borussia Dortmund to win at 2.05, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Bodo-Glimt 1 · Borussia Dortmund 0
Bodo-Glimt won
Our pick, Borussia Dortmund to win at locked odds 2.05, lost. It was published with 46% confidence, leaving a 54% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.
Before the start the best price on Borussia Dortmund to win had drifted from 2.05 to 2.344, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Borussia Dortmund are the favourites at 2.05 for their UEFA Champions League match with Bodo-Glimt on 14 October 2026. Bodo-Glimt are priced at 3.192 and the draw at 3.96.
With the margin removed, the implied chance is 46.3% for Borussia Dortmund, 29.7% for Bodo-Glimt and 24.0% for the draw. Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met once, on 10 December 2025 in the league stage of the UEFA Champions League, and that game ended without a winner. The record is therefore level, and we have no recent results for either side.
We pick Borussia Dortmund to win, at 46% confidence, simply because they are the market favourite once the margin is removed. The level record left the 46.3% market chance unchanged. With team news unseen, Bodo-Glimt keep a genuine chance.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win 72% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 13.20 Possible profit +3.20
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