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Prematch Sports Prediction

Serie A Finished

Lecce vs Bologna 1909 Prediction

Our pick: Bologna 1909 to win at 1.925, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

vs

Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)

Result

Won

Lecce 1 · Bologna 1909 2

Bologna 1909 won

How our call settled

Our pick, Bologna 1909 to win at locked odds 1.925, won. It was published with 52% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Bologna 1909 to win had drifted from 1.925 to 2.105, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Lecce and Bologna 1909 meet in Serie A on 11 October 2026. The market treats Bologna 1909 as favourite at 1.925, ahead of the draw at 3.34 and Lecce at 4.26, which works out at implied chances of 49.3% for Bologna 1909, 28.4% for the draw and 22.3% for Lecce.

Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met 15 times since 2009, with Bologna 1909 taking 10 wins, Lecce 1 and 4 ending drawn or undecided. Their most recent game was a Serie A match on 12 April 2026. We have no recent results for either team.

We pick Bologna 1909 to win with 52% confidence, as they are the market favourite on the implied chances. The head-to-head record leans to Bologna 1909 and pushed the market chance of 49.3% up by 3.0 points, the most our method allows. Team news, weather and pitch information are not available, so the room for error stays wide.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · Lecce 340.00
X · Draw 17.00
2 · Bologna 1909 1.925 Our pick

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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