Skip to content
Prematch Sports Prediction

Bundesliga Finished

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Our pick: Borussia Dortmund to win at 1.664, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Union Berlin

vs

An der Alten Forsterei (Berlin)

Borussia Dortmund

Result

Lost

Union Berlin 0 · Borussia Dortmund 0

Match drawn

How our call settled

Our pick, Borussia Dortmund to win at locked odds 1.664, lost. It was published with 59% confidence, leaving a 41% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.

Before the start the best price on Borussia Dortmund to win had shortened from 1.664 to 1.48, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Union Berlin play Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 17 October 2026, with Borussia Dortmund the market favourite at 1.664. Union Berlin are priced at 4.50 and the draw at 4.34.

After the margin is removed, the implied chance is 57.0% for Borussia Dortmund, 21.9% for the draw and 21.1% for Union Berlin. Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met 15 times since 2018, with Borussia Dortmund winning 11 and Union Berlin 4, so none of those meetings ended level; the latest was a Bundesliga fixture on 24 January 2026.

The pick is Borussia Dortmund to win, at 59% confidence, because they are the market favourite once the margin is removed. The head-to-head record leans to Borussia Dortmund and raised the 57.0% market chance by 2.2 points. Recent results and team news are not in our data, which leaves the call open to a surprise.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · Union Berlin 29.00
X · Draw 1.02
2 · Borussia Dortmund 1.664 Our pick

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

Related picks