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Prematch Sports Prediction

Bundesliga Finished

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Our pick: Borussia Dortmund to win at 1.35, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Borussia Dortmund

vs

Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Werder Bremen

Result

Lost

Borussia Dortmund 2 · Werder Bremen 2

Match drawn

How our call settled

Our pick, Borussia Dortmund to win at locked odds 1.35, lost. It was published with 72% confidence, leaving a 28% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.

Before the start the best price on Borussia Dortmund to win had drifted from 1.35 to 1.36, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Borussia Dortmund meet Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on 9 October 2026, and the market makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 1.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, the implied chance is 70.4% for Borussia Dortmund, 17.1% for the draw and 12.5% for Werder Bremen.

Across all competitions combined, the sides have met 15 times since 2019: Borussia Dortmund won 8, Werder Bremen 2, and 5 ended level or without a result. The latest meeting was a Bundesliga game on 16 May 2026, while recent results for both clubs are missing from our data.

Our pick is Borussia Dortmund to win, with 72% confidence, because they are the market favourite once the margin is stripped out. The head-to-head record raised the market figure of 70.4% by 1.7 points, the only adjustment made. Team news and pitch conditions are not available, so a late change to the line-up is the chief uncertainty.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · Borussia Dortmund 1.35 Our pick
X · Draw 1.035
2 · Werder Bremen 44.00

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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