UEFA Europa League Finished
Our pick: Bournemouth to win at 1.184, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Bournemouth 3 · Sturm Graz 0
Bournemouth won
Our pick, Bournemouth to win at locked odds 1.184, won. It was published with 80% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Bournemouth to win had shortened from 1.184 to 1.168, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Bournemouth are very strong favourites to beat Sturm Graz in the UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026. The market offers 1.184 on Bournemouth, 7.40 on the draw and 13.00 on Sturm Graz.
Once the margin is removed, the implied chance is 79.9% for Bournemouth, 12.8% for the draw and 7.3% for Sturm Graz. We have no head-to-head history and no recent results for either club, so the pairing is judged on the prices alone.
Our call is Bournemouth to win, with 80% confidence, because they are the market favourite once the margin is removed. With no records to weigh, the 79.9% market chance was left unchanged. Team news is not available to us, so an upset by Sturm Graz is the main caveat.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Olympique de Marseille to win 43% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 22.50 Possible profit +12.50
Prediction: Bournemouth to win 44% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 22.32 Possible profit +12.32
Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb to win 54% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.80 Possible profit +7.80
Prediction: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise to win 64% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 15.10 Possible profit +5.10
Olympique de Marseille
Milan
Dinamo Zagreb
N.E.C.
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Hapoel Be'er Sheva