La Liga Finished
Our pick: Celta to win at 2.00, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Celta 2 · Deportivo Alaves 1
Celta won
Our pick, Celta to win at locked odds 2.00, won. It was published with 48% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Celta to win had drifted from 2.00 to 2.22, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Celta are favoured over Deportivo Alaves in La Liga on 18 October 2026. The market prices Celta at 2.00, an implied chance of 47.4%, with the draw at 27.9% and Deportivo Alaves at 24.7%.
Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met 15 times since 2018, with 7 wins for Celta, 5 for Deportivo Alaves and 3 games without a winner. They last met in La Liga on 22 March 2026. We have no recent results for either club.
We pick Celta to win, at 48% confidence: the market chance of 47.4%, raised by 0.8 points because the head-to-head record leans towards Celta. The gap to Deportivo Alaves is real but not large, and with team news and conditions unavailable the outcome could swing either way.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Deportivo Alaves to win 54% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.35 Possible profit +7.35
Prediction: Celta to win 41% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 23.25 Possible profit +13.25
Prediction: Athletic Bilbao to win 44% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.75 Possible profit +11.75
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win 55% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.40 Possible profit +7.40
Malaga
Celtic
Levante UD
Athletic Bilbao
Rayo Vallecano
Elche