La Liga Finished
Our pick: Draw at 3.20, locked when this prediction was published. No team reached 45% once the bookmaker margin was removed, and the draw sat within 10 points of the favourite, so the call is the draw; the analysis below is written from match data.
Elche 0 · Celta 0
Match drawn
Our pick, Draw at locked odds 3.20, won. It was published with 30% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Draw had drifted from 3.20 to 3.24, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Elche and Celta play in La Liga on 11 October 2026, and the market barely separates them. Celta are marginally ahead at 2.584, an implied chance of 36.7%, Elche are at 2.825 and 33.6%, and the draw is priced at 3.20, or 29.7%.
Across all competitions combined, the 15 meetings since 2011 show 7 wins for Celta, 5 for Elche and 3 draws or ties. Their last meeting came on 3 May 2026 in La Liga, and we have no recent results for either club.
Our pick is the draw, with 30% confidence. It follows the draw rule: no team reaches 45% once the margin is removed, the draw is under the 33% ceiling, and Celta lead it by 7.1 points, inside the limit of 10. Our records left the figure unchanged, and with team news unavailable, either side could still take the win.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win 55% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.40 Possible profit +7.40
Prediction: Celta to win 41% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 23.25 Possible profit +13.25
Prediction: Athletic Bilbao to win 44% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.75 Possible profit +11.75
Prediction: Deportivo Alaves to win 54% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.35 Possible profit +7.35
Rayo Vallecano
Celtic
Levante UD
Athletic Bilbao
Deportivo Alaves
Malaga