Premier League Finished
Our pick: Chelsea to win at 2.29, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Everton 0 · Chelsea 2
Chelsea won
Our pick, Chelsea to win at locked odds 2.29, won. It was published with 41% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Chelsea to win had shortened from 2.29 to 2.25, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Chelsea are the market favourite for their Premier League meeting with Everton on 17 October 2026, priced at 2.29. Everton are at 2.875 and the draw at 3.72.
Once the margin is removed, the implied chance is 41.5% for Chelsea, 33.0% for Everton and 25.5% for the draw. Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met 15 times since 2019, with 6 wins each and 3 games ending without a winner; the latest was a Premier League match on 21 March 2026. We hold no recent results for either club.
Chelsea to win is the pick, at 41% confidence, simply because they are the favourite once the margin is removed. The level head-to-head record left the 41.5% market chance unchanged. Team news is not available, which keeps Everton firmly in the picture.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Arsenal to win 68% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.00 Possible profit +4.00
Prediction: Chelsea to win 56% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.00 Possible profit +7.00
Prediction: Draw 28% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 33.60 Possible profit +23.60
Prediction: Manchester City to win 54% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.68 Possible profit +7.68
Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur
Ipswich Town
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Manchester City