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Our pick: Chelsea to win at 2.096, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
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Chelsea and Manchester United meet in the Premier League on 31 October 2026, on the match winner market over 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The bookmaker line makes Chelsea the favourite at odds of 2.096, with the draw at 3.66 and Manchester United at 3.30. Once the margin is removed, the implied chance is 45.3% for Chelsea, 28.8% for Manchester United and 25.9% for the draw.
We have no head-to-head record for these teams in our data. Chelsea won both of their last 2, against Everton on 17 October 2026 and Bournemouth on 10 October 2026. Manchester United lost to Atletico Madrid on 13 October 2026 and drew with Tottenham Hotspur on 10 October 2026.
Our call is Chelsea to win, with a confidence of 48%. The pick is the market favourite once the bookmaker margin is removed, and the recent-results record, which leans to Chelsea, moved the market chance of 45.3% up by 2.6 points. Only 2 recent matches per team are in our data, and line-ups, suspensions and weather are not available to us.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Press an outcome to see its example return in the calculator. Our pick shows its locked odds; the others show the best current price.
Prediction: Chelsea to win 56% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.00 Possible profit +7.00
Prediction: Como to win 42% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 22.56 Possible profit +12.56
Prediction: Draw 28% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 33.60 Possible profit +23.60
Prediction: Manchester City to win 54% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.68 Possible profit +7.68
Tottenham Hotspur
Como
Ipswich Town
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Manchester City