UEFA Europa League Finished
Our pick: Lyon to win at 2.168, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Lyon 3 · Crystal Palace 2
Lyon won
Our pick, Lyon to win at locked odds 2.168, won. It was published with 42% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Lyon to win had drifted from 2.168 to 2.76, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Crystal Palace and Lyon meet in the UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026. The market makes Lyon the favourite at 2.168, with Crystal Palace at 3.16 and the draw at 3.62.
With the bookmaker margin stripped out, the implied chance is 43.8% for Lyon, 30.0% for Crystal Palace and 26.2% for the draw. Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met once in our records, a club friendly on 5 August 2023 that Crystal Palace won. We hold no recent results for either club, so form cannot be weighed.
Our pick is Lyon to win, with 42% confidence, because they are the market favourite once the margin is removed. That single meeting leans to Crystal Palace, so it lowered the 43.8% market chance by 1.4 points. With team news and conditions unavailable, a Crystal Palace result remains a real possibility.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Draw 29% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 32.80 Possible profit +22.80
Prediction: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win 37% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 25.36 Possible profit +15.36
Prediction: Ferencvarosi to win 68% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.25 Possible profit +4.25
Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb to win 54% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.80 Possible profit +7.80
Besiktas
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Ferencvarosi
S.C.U. Torreense
Dinamo Zagreb
N.E.C.