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Our pick: Deportivo Alaves to win at 1.735, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
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Deportivo Alaves face Malaga in La Liga on 23 October 2026. The bookmaker line puts Deportivo Alaves ahead at 1.735, with the draw at 3.70 and Malaga at 4.86, giving implied chances of 54.8%, 25.7% and 19.6% once the margin is removed.
We have no head-to-head record for these teams in our data. Malaga drew with Espanyol on 9 October 2026, and Deportivo Alaves lost to Atletico Madrid on 10 October 2026, both in La Liga.
Our call is Deportivo Alaves to win, with 54% confidence, since they are the market favourite. The recent results lean to Malaga and moved the market chance of 54.8% down by 1.0 points. Team news and suspensions are not available to us, which is the main risk.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
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Press an outcome to see its example return in the calculator. Our pick shows its locked odds; the others show the best current price.
Prediction: Athletic Bilbao to win 44% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.75 Possible profit +11.75
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win 55% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.40 Possible profit +7.40
Prediction: Espanyol to win 38% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 24.70 Possible profit +14.70
Prediction: Villarreal to win 45% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.00 Possible profit +11.00
Levante UD
Athletic Bilbao
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Racing de Santander
Espanyol
Valencia
Villarreal