La Liga Finished
Our pick: Villarreal to win at 1.456, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Villarreal 0 · Elche 0
Match drawn
Our pick, Villarreal to win at locked odds 1.456, lost. It was published with 66% confidence, leaving a 34% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.
Before the start the best price on Villarreal to win had shortened from 1.456 to 1.455, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Villarreal are clear market favourites over Elche in La Liga on 17 October 2026. They are priced at 1.456, an implied chance of 65.1%, compared with 20.2% for the draw and 14.7% for Elche.
Across all competitions combined, the 15 meetings since 2013 produced 7 wins for Villarreal, 3 for Elche and 5 games without a winner. The most recent was in La Liga on 8 March 2026. We have no recent results for either side.
We pick Villarreal to win, with 66% confidence. The head-to-head record leans towards Villarreal and raised the market chance of 65.1% by 1.3 points. Team news is not available to us, and that is the main reason the result could go against the pick.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win 55% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.40 Possible profit +7.40
Prediction: Villarreal to win 45% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.00 Possible profit +11.00
Prediction: Liverpool to win 67% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.75 Possible profit +4.75
Prediction: Athletic Bilbao to win 44% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.75 Possible profit +11.75
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Liverpool
Levante UD
Athletic Bilbao