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Prematch Sports Prediction

Premier League Finished

Hull City vs Everton Prediction

Our pick: Everton to win at 2.04, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Hull City

vs

MKM Stadium (Kingston upon Hull)

Everton

Result

Lost

Hull City 2 · Everton 2

Match drawn

How our call settled

Our pick, Everton to win at locked odds 2.04, lost. It was published with 49% confidence, leaving a 51% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.

Before the start the best price on Everton to win had shortened from 2.04 to 1.945, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Everton are priced at 2.04 to beat Hull City in the Premier League on 11 October 2026, which makes them the market favourite. Their implied chance is 46.5%, with Hull City on 25.6% and the draw on 27.9%.

Everton hold a clear edge in the record across all competitions combined: 7 wins to 2 for Hull City over 12 meetings since 2008, with 3 ending level or without a result. The last of those was an FA Cup tie on 8 January 2022. We have no recent results for either club.

The pick is Everton to win, at 49% confidence. The head-to-head record leans to Everton and raises the market chance of 46.5% by 2.5 points, so the call builds on the bookmaker line rather than overriding it. Team news is not available, and that remains the principal unknown.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · Hull City 26.00
X · Draw 1.02
2 · Everton 2.04 Our pick

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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