UEFA Europa League Finished
Our pick: Milan to win at 1.82, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
FC Salzburg 0 · Milan 4
Milan won
Our pick, Milan to win at locked odds 1.82, won. It was published with 55% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Milan to win had drifted from 1.82 to 1.875, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
FC Salzburg face Milan in the UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026, and the market makes Milan the favourite. Milan are priced at 1.82, FC Salzburg at 4.02 and the draw at 3.92.
With the margin removed, the implied chance is 52.2% for Milan, 24.2% for the draw and 23.6% for FC Salzburg. Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met 4 times since 1994: Milan won 3, FC Salzburg none, and 1 ended without a winner, the latest being a Champions League group-stage game on 2 November 2022. No recent results for either side are in our data.
We pick Milan to win at 55% confidence, as they are the favourite once the margin is removed. The head-to-head record favours Milan and raised the 52.2% market chance by 2.7 points. Team news is not available to us, so a surprise from FC Salzburg cannot be ruled out.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: FC Salzburg to win 46% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 20.60 Possible profit +10.60
Prediction: Bournemouth to win 44% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 22.32 Possible profit +12.32
Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb to win 54% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 17.80 Possible profit +7.80
Prediction: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise to win 64% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 15.10 Possible profit +5.10
Celje
Bournemouth
Dinamo Zagreb
N.E.C.
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Hapoel Be'er Sheva