Serie A Finished
Our pick: Fiorentina to win at 2.295, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Genoa 2 · Fiorentina 1
Genoa won
Our pick, Fiorentina to win at locked odds 2.295, lost. It was published with 44% confidence, leaving a 56% chance for the other outcomes, and one of them came in.
Before the start the best price on Fiorentina to win had drifted from 2.295 to 2.304, so the market moved away from this pick after it was published.
Fiorentina are the market favourite for the Serie A match with Genoa on 10 October 2026, at 2.295. Their implied chance is 41.3%, while Genoa are on 30.3% at 3.136 and the draw is on 28.4%.
Across all competitions combined, Fiorentina have won 6 of 15 meetings since 2018 and Genoa 1, with 8 drawn, tied or without a result. The latest was a Serie A game on 10 May 2026. Recent results for both clubs are not available.
Fiorentina to win is the pick, at 44% confidence. The head-to-head record leans to Fiorentina and raised the market chance of 41.3% by 3.0 points, the largest move our method allows. Team news is not available, so Genoa could still spoil the call.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Torino to win 45% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.05 Possible profit +11.05
Prediction: Draw 32% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 29.44 Possible profit +19.44
Prediction: Como to win 68% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.00 Possible profit +4.00
Prediction: Roma to win 37% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 24.56 Possible profit +14.56
Torino
Monza 1912
Cagliari Calcio
Bologna 1909
Como
Sassuolo Calcio
Napoli
Roma