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Prematch Sports Prediction

Bundesliga Finished

Freiburg vs Schalke 04 Prediction

Our pick: Freiburg to win at 1.625, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

Freiburg

vs

Europa Park (Freiburg im Breisgau)

Schalke 04

Result

Won

Freiburg 2 · Schalke 04 1

Freiburg won

How our call settled

Our pick, Freiburg to win at locked odds 1.625, won. It was published with 60% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Freiburg to win had shortened from 1.625 to 1.616, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Freiburg are the favourites at 1.625 for their Bundesliga meeting with Schalke 04 on 11 October 2026. Schalke 04 are priced at 5.40 and the draw at 3.96.

With the margin removed, the implied chance is 58.4% for Freiburg, 24.0% for the draw and 17.6% for Schalke 04. Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met 15 times since 2014; Freiburg won 8, Schalke 04 won 3 and 4 were drawn or undecided, most recently in the Bundesliga on 23 April 2023.

Freiburg to win is our pick, at 60% confidence. It follows from Freiburg being the market favourite, and the head-to-head record, which leans their way, raises the market chance of 58.4% by 1.7 points. We have no recent results and no word on selection, so a surprise cannot be ruled out.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · Freiburg 1.625 Our pick
X · Draw 16.00
2 · Schalke 04 390.00

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

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