Skip to content
Prematch Sports Prediction

Serie A Finished

Frosinone Calcio vs Sassuolo Calcio Prediction

Our pick: Frosinone Calcio to win at 2.455, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.

vs

Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Result

Won

Frosinone Calcio 4 · Sassuolo Calcio 2

Frosinone Calcio won

How our call settled

Our pick, Frosinone Calcio to win at locked odds 2.455, won. It was published with 36% confidence.

Before the start the best price on Frosinone Calcio to win had shortened from 2.455 to 2.384, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.

Analysis

Frosinone Calcio meet Sassuolo Calcio in Serie A on 16 October 2026. The market has Frosinone Calcio narrowly ahead at 2.455, with Sassuolo Calcio at 2.856 and the draw at 3.38.

Once the margin is removed, the implied chance is 38.7% for Frosinone Calcio, 33.2% for Sassuolo Calcio and 28.1% for the draw. Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met 13 times since 2009, with Sassuolo Calcio winning 9, Frosinone Calcio 2 and 2 ending without a winner; the latest was a Coppa Italia tie on 2 September 2026. We hold no recent results for either club.

Our pick is Frosinone Calcio to win, at 36% confidence, because they are the market favourite once the margin is removed. The head-to-head record leans to Sassuolo Calcio, so it lowered the 38.7% market chance by 2.7 points, and that move was held by our cap on adjustments. With line-ups, injuries, suspensions, weather and pitch conditions unknown, this is a thin call.

Match winner odds

90 minutes plus stoppage time

Updated

1 · Frosinone Calcio 2.455 Our pick
X · Draw 20.00
2 · Sassuolo Calcio 190.00

Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.

Related picks

FootballSerie A Upcoming

Napoli vs Roma

Prediction: Roma to win 37% confidence

Full prediction →
Our call: 2

Stake 10.00 Possible return 24.56 Possible profit +14.56