Como vs Sassuolo Calcio
Prediction: Como to win 68% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.00 Possible profit +4.00
Serie A Finished
Our pick: Frosinone Calcio to win at 2.455, locked when this prediction was published. It was the market favourite with the bookmaker margin removed; the analysis below is written from match data.
Frosinone Calcio 4 · Sassuolo Calcio 2
Frosinone Calcio won
Our pick, Frosinone Calcio to win at locked odds 2.455, won. It was published with 36% confidence.
Before the start the best price on Frosinone Calcio to win had shortened from 2.455 to 2.384, so the market moved towards this pick after it was published.
Frosinone Calcio meet Sassuolo Calcio in Serie A on 16 October 2026. The market has Frosinone Calcio narrowly ahead at 2.455, with Sassuolo Calcio at 2.856 and the draw at 3.38.
Once the margin is removed, the implied chance is 38.7% for Frosinone Calcio, 33.2% for Sassuolo Calcio and 28.1% for the draw. Across all competitions combined, the clubs have met 13 times since 2009, with Sassuolo Calcio winning 9, Frosinone Calcio 2 and 2 ending without a winner; the latest was a Coppa Italia tie on 2 September 2026. We hold no recent results for either club.
Our pick is Frosinone Calcio to win, at 36% confidence, because they are the market favourite once the margin is removed. The head-to-head record leans to Sassuolo Calcio, so it lowered the 38.7% market chance by 2.7 points, and that move was held by our cap on adjustments. With line-ups, injuries, suspensions, weather and pitch conditions unknown, this is a thin call.
90 minutes plus stoppage time
Updated
Best price for each outcome before the start; our pick shows its locked odds.
Prediction: Como to win 68% confidence
Full prediction →
Stake 10.00 Possible return 14.00 Possible profit +4.00
Prediction: Torino to win 45% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 21.05 Possible profit +11.05
Prediction: Draw 32% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 29.44 Possible profit +19.44
Prediction: Roma to win 37% confidence
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Stake 10.00 Possible return 24.56 Possible profit +14.56